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Why house prices could fall 25% - and what will happen next

Interest rates are rising, and Coolabah Capital’s Chris Joye is predicting house prices will fall by 15-25%... at least. This isn’t just a clickbait headline – it’s a data driven forecast based on the RBA’s own model. So what could that mean?
Gemma Dale | nabtrade
20 July 2022
Created by potrace 1.15, written by Peter Selinger 2001-2017 49 min listen

Interest rates are rising, and Coolabah Capital’s Chris Joye is predicting house prices will fall by 15-25%... at least. This isn’t just a clickbait headline – it’s a data driven forecast based on the RBA’s own model. So what could that mean?

Chris shares his thoughts on:

  • The impact of rising rates across the economy, and why all assets have been hit
  • Why mortgage defaults are inevitable, and what that means for the economy
  • How lower rates have increased house price volatility
  • Which asset classes are offering value as rates rise, and
  • Why interest rates may not rise as much as investors fear.

You can access this and previous episodes of the Your Wealth podcast now on iTunes, Podbean, Spotify or at nabtrade.com.au/yourwealth

If you’re short on time, consider listening at 1.5-2x speed, which should be shown on the screen of your device as you listen. This won’t just reduce your listening time; it has also been shown to improve knowledge retention.

Your Wealth Gemma Dale
About the Author
Gemma Dale , nabtrade

Gemma Dale is Director of SMSF and Investor Behaviour at nabtrade. She is the host of the Your Wealth podcast, a fortnightly podcast for investors, featuring insights and updates from markets and finance experts across a range of topics. She provides regular market and finance commentary on ausbiz and in other media including AFR, the Australian, ABC and commercial tv and radio. Gemma was previously the Head of SMSF Solutions for nab, and the Head of Technical Services for MLC, where she led a team of specialists providing advice to advisers and their clients on SMSF, super, tax, social security and aged care.